Where Brazil is heading if they overthrow Dilma Rousseff?

Several scenarios are possible if the Brazilian Right, supported by the United States, wins the battle to suspend and prosecute President Dilma Rousseff, and all of them are of the worst kind

While the validity analysis to impeach President Dilma Rousseff continues in the Brazilian Senate, several scenarios begin to take shape in the country, and all discouraging for the future of the giant South American nation.

False accusations against the governor, at least so far there is no evidence that they incriminate- serve as the basis for the opening by the Right represented in the Chamber of Deputies of a process that could culminate the 11th or 12th of next month, when the 81-member Senate rules.

This parliamentary coup d’etat considered part of the strategy devised by the United States to overthrow progressive governments in Latin America, especially those living in the southern cone. The victory of the Right in Argentina encouraged conservatives and their leaders to boost outing Rousseff, who is serving her second term started on January 1st.

According to the Constitution, if the Senate committee approves the impeachment, the governor will be separated from office for 180 days, then barehanded senators, after finishing the investigation, give their final verdict: impeach her, or archive the case.

If the worst happens and Dilma Rousseff is dismissed, the instigator of the coup, her deputy Michel Temer, the Democratic Movement Party Brasileiro (PMDB), who is awaiting a political trial for a complaint that may never reach being analyzed in the Chamber of Deputies, will take over on an interim basis.

Temer, old school of Brazilian politicians, is considered a traitor to the governor, with whom he teamed to form the government and be in the circle of power, as well as several important figures of this group. The party vice president left the union government so its members in government and MPs could vote against the President.

But to get to that point there were several events. The president of the Chamber of Deputies, Eduardo Cunha, was the promoter of the challenge to Rousseff. He had received, given his leadership, several complaints against the head of the Executive, to which had paid little attention.

However, Cunha, a corrupt politician and thief of at least five million dollars proven in the Petrobras scandal tried to blackmail the president, if she did not prevent him going to the Ethics Committee of Deputies with the danger of being found corrupt, the complaints would pass and with them the challenge process.

As Dilma responded: “I do not do business with corrupts”, signed what some call his dignified removal from office, but that is nothing but a shameful revenge, a plot of Brazilian rightists to install a government in the style of what is happening now in Argentina with conservative Macri.

By 327 votes it was passed in the Upper House to pass to the Senate process. The odd thing is that 100 of those deputies are under investigation for corruption and other crimes against the state, which is a shame for that legislative power.

Although unseemly, way even already have an armed government to replace the current, majority of the leftist Workers Party (PT), Temer could blackmail his partner Cunha also and do what he did with Dilma, although it is improbable, then who would be leading the nation ?.

Another complex issue that round the Brazilian scenario is that although both Temer and Rousseff are under surveillance of the Supreme Electoral Tribunal, as were alleged illegal financing of the election campaign of 2014. If this is successful, the Court can override before the first half of the current mandate (December this year) to the two leaders.

It is up then the corrupt Cunha assume the presidency and call elections within 90 days.

But if the Court delivered its judgment based on hypothesis–all from the second half of government lies with the National Congress the appointment of the new president, who would also Cunha, but perhaps for that is then imprisoned for his many robberies.

Just stay with possibilities President of the Senate, Renan Calheiros, third in line of succession of the President, but is also involved in a corruption scandal as other lawmakers accused. His crime, if proven, would receive money to prevent theft investigations in state Petrobrás.

Temer, which is the first link in this chain, could himself substitute Dilma Rousseff, who refuses to resign and prove his innocence, but will find it difficult to find allies, as his wily and ambitious spirit was in public view.

Right now popular movements, leftist political organizations, trade unions, student groups, artists, intellectuals and other sectors of society who oppose the coup also have a very important role.

Thousands of people remain in the streets in support of the president who committed the crime to face the right that the rule has not stopped since and manages the National Congress does not pass the laws the Executive.

A blow to Brazil is a blow to Latin America, because if that country with its political and economic power falls into the hands of the conservatives, it would be a shift in regional geopolitics that greatly benefits the United States.